ISBN: 3540654887
TITLE: Meeting the Challenge of Sustainable Mobility
AUTHOR: Geerlings, Harry
TOC:

List of tables XIII
List of figures XV
1 New challenges in technology development: the environmental problem 1
1.1 Introduction 1
1.2 Environmental problems 1
1.2.1 Environmental Problems: From local to global 2
1.2.2 Solutions: From national to international 3
1.2.3 The technological option 4
1.3 The scientific response 5
1.3.1 The rise of environmental sciences 5
1.3.2 The interaction with economic sciences 6
1.4 The structure of this book 7
Part A Theoretical part
2 Transport, technology and sustainable development 11
2.1 Introduction 11
2.2 Transport and the environment 11
2.2.1 Stratification within the transportation sector 12
2.2.2 The environmental concern 14
2.3 The technology card 19
2.3.1 Environmental technologies 19
2.3.2 The political setting 21
2.3.3 Two paradoxes 24
2.4 The concept of sustainable development 26
2.4.1 Linking the environment and economics 27
2.4.2 Risk and uncertainty 33
2.4.3 The need for an attitudinal change 34
3 The evolutionary theory of technology dynamics 39
3.1 Introduction 39
3.2 The evolutionary theory of technology dynamics 39
3.2.1 The relevance of technology forecasting 39
3.2.2 Technology; a definition 40
3.2.3 From macro-trends to micro-analysis 42
3.3 Critics of the modern theory 54
3.4 The relevance of technology dynamics for sustainable development and the transportation sector 58
3.4.1 Technological innovations and sustainable developme 58
3.4.2 Technological innovations in the transport sector 61
3.5 Respecting heuristics; a new opportunity 65
4 Policy making in networks and alliances: implications for a sustainable technology policy 69
4.1 Introduction 69
4.2 Network management and public policy making 69
4.2.1 The crises in public policy 69
4.2.2 The concept of network management 72
4.2.3 Network management and steering 74
4.2.4 A new role for the government 81
4.2.5 Instruments 87
4.3 Network management and the private sector 90
4.3.1 Changing positions and performances 91
4.3.2 Strategic alliances as networks 97
4.4 Cooperation in networks 101
4.4.1 Networks and strategic cooperation 101
4.4.2 Network management and technology policy 104
4.4.3 Network management and sustainable development 108
5 Directing innovations in the transport sector: a Synthesis 115
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Processes of change
5.2.1 The dynamic environment of innovations
5.3 Establishing a technology policy for transport and sustainable development 119
5.3.1 General policy requirements 119
5.3.2 Technology policy requirements 121
5.4 Towards a sustainable-sound technology policy for the transport sector: a strategy framework 139
Part B Empirical part
6.1 Introduction 139
6.2 Global mobility patterns 139
6.2.1 Passenger transport 140
6.2.2 The development of freight transport 145
6.3 Expected trends and 'weak signals' 147
6.3.l Public policy perspective 148
6.3.2 Business perspective 148
6.3.3 Environmental perspective 149
6.3.4 Transportation perspective 151
6.4 Transportation - the environment - technological opportunities: a challenging future 152
7 The Maglev-technology 155
7.1 Introduction 155
7.2 Rail transport - the history of high speed trains 155
7.3 The Potentials of the Maglev-technology 158
7.3.1 The state of development 159
7.3.2 Technical performance 160
7.3.3 Economic issues 161
7.3.4 Environmental impacts 162
7.4 An evaluation of the Maglev from the viewpoint of network management, technology dynamics and sustainable development 166
7.4.1 Actors and activities 166
7.4.2 The strategy framework 167
7.5 The Maglev: hype or technological revolution? 175
7.5.1 Prospects for motive power applications 176
7.5.2 The implementation gap 176
8 The Fuel-cell technology 179
8.1 Introduction 179
8.2 The historical context 179
8.2.1 The history of the fuel-cell 179
8.2.2 A competitive technology? 182
8.3 The Potentials of fuel-cell technology 185
8.3.1 The state of development 185
8.3.2 Technical performance 188
8.3.3 Economic issues 189
8.3.4 Environmental impacts 190
8.4 An evaluation of the FC-technology from the viewpoint of network management, technology dynamics and sustainable development 191
8.4.1 Actors and activities 192
8.4.2 The strategy framework 199
8.5 The fuel-cell: a great future? 209
8.5.1 Prospects for motive power applications 209
8.5.2 The implementation strategy 213
9 Some conclusions and reflections 217
9.1 Introduction 217
9.2 Technology dynamics and networks 217
9.2.1 Sustainable development and objectives in the transport sector 217
9.2.2 The role of sustainability-oriented technologies in the transport sector and the meaning of the evolutionary theory of technology dynamics 218
9.2.3 The role of the government in generating sustainability oriented technologies 220
9.3 Defining a Window of Technological Opportunity (WTO) 223
9.3.1 Characteristics of innovation processes for sustainability-oriented technologies in transport 223
9.3.2 Realising the Window of Technological Opportunity 223
9.3.3 The empirical results 224
9.4 Epilogue 226
Annex 229
Annex I List of interviewed persons 229
Annex II Technology evaluation manual and tables 231
Annex III The technology clusters and their impact on the enviroment 245
References 251
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