Scenarios Originating within the Economic Model

Economic Incentives

• Tradeable/transferable development rights
• Impact fees on new development
• Changes to Taxes/subsidies to encourage:
• wetland preservation
• forest preservation
• agricultural preservation
• farming practices (avoid erodable soil/steep slopes)
• land trusts
• Test/compare each county's unique options on entire watershed (e.g. Howard's Density Exchange Option)
  

Planning/Zoning options

• Lot size (urban and agricultural)
• Maximum septic density
• Sewer expansion
• Suburban and rural clustering

Scenarios Originating within the Ecological Model

Historical and End Member Comparison

• All forested landscape
• Current land use with:
  • no urban
  • no agriculture
  • all developed land as agriculture
  • all developed land as urban

Management changes not represented in economic model

• Adoption of various farming practices (BMPs)
• Riparian buffer development/preservation
• Urban BMP regulations

Technological change

• Precision farming
• BNR on smaller WWTPs
• Wetland gray-water treatment systems
• Bioretention (constructed wetlands capture runoff)

Forcing Function Change

• Climate change
• Sea level rise

Decision Support

• Maximizing nutrient reductions from restoration effort
  (modeling best places to restore)

Ecological and Economic Goals

• Protect groundwater quality and recharge areas
• Reach 40% nutrient reduction goal (and maintain?)
• Maintain open space
• Maintain wildlife corridors
• Reduce deer-car collisions
• Preserve rural character
• Preserve historical sites
• Preserve/increase land values
• Protect threatened and endangered species
• Protect drinking water sources/reservoirs
• Prevent invasive species
• Prevent erosion
• Range of housing prices